GVZ cross below 200MA last Friday. Although most analysis tell you to buy buy buy gold. As you can see the Gold is getting weak weak weak. If GVZ cross above 200MA, it's a good time to sell sell sell.

Why The Dow/Gold Ratio is Headed Lower

The Federal Reserve’s policies of holding interest rates at 0% and inflating the monetary base have set the stage for high inflation, which will lead to a decline in the ratio. However, if the Federal Reserve has not yet printed enough money to offset the deleveraging associated with the unwinding credit bubble, then the Federal Reserve will be forced to institute even more policies to create the illusion of economic growth. Therefore, the Dow/gold ratio will ultimately decline further because of inflation regardless of the rate of economic growth or contraction. Whether stocks fall as gold rises, gold soars as stocks stagnate, or both stocks and gold go up or down together, the ratio will inevitably bottom much closer to 1:1 just as it did in 1932 and 1980 (Figure 1). With the financial and fiscal imbalances of the US much greater today than they were in 1932 or 1980, and the US Dollar under attack as a reserve currency, a decline in the Dow/gold ratio to that level is logical.

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World gold production

Base on supply and demand, If world gold production continue to rise. we might see a fall in gold price in coming future.

This also tell us from 2008 the price of gold is purely speculation. (Speculation including investor)

For more on Gold: http://www.dani2989.com/gold/goldprod2010gb.htm

"The equity markets, look pretty weak." Interview with Mr. Arch Crawford, for more info. please visit: www.crawfordperspectives.com.

"The equity markets, look pretty weak." Interview with Mr. Arch Crawford, for more info. please visit: www.crawfordperspectives.com.

This is a podcast, Just click on it!

Buy DOW or S&P

Start Buying when DOW reach 9700, some call this bottom fishing.
Target: 10100 onward.

Day to watch

1st August 2010 plus minus 10 days

The coming Peaks or Correction

Feb 2010 correction
May 2010 correction
Base on this chart, the peaks should be on the Augest 2010.

GOLD is coming Down

I think Gold will come down together with stock market. Just like 2008 Sept.

EUR/USD 200MA Cross

EUR/USD cross 200MA in price.
EUR index cross 200MA
USD index not cross 200MA
Although USD has not cross 200MA but that's enough for a buy call.

Vanguard institution Index

Confirm is a down trend base on Vanguard institution Index with 200MA

AUD testing 200MA

AUD index is coming close to test 200MA. Shanghai Index confirm down trend already, so I see AUD/USD to fall for at least one month if we see this to happen.

AUD 200MA cross

AUD Price cross 200MA
USD Index cross 200MA
AUD index not yet cross 200MA

Basically, if price rebound on AUD price to test the 200MA. Can consider short AUD.

EUR

From Other Forecaster: http://www.naturalforex.com/?p=98

As I predicted the same, EUR & USD on February 28 to March 4 bottomed and began to rebound in between, then the rally will last for how long?

Short-cycle can not be accurately forecast. But it is about analysis.
July 5, 2008 to April 15, 2010 run for 21 months
March 4, 2009 to April 5, 2010 run 13 months
November 25, 2009 to April 25, 2010 run 4 months
From the above cycle can be seen in April will be the trend of turning point in time.
Also analyzed from the November 25, 2009 fell during the first wave of reaction runs for 14 days.

This gives us a cycle of time, The rally will now be able to observe more than 14 days. If the reaction time of more than 14 days we can look at 21 days, 28 days.

Although the U.S. economy and the euro zone economy is bad, but the whole situation in the U.S. can be a bit better. After all, the euro area is an economic one, while the regime is not one area.

My point of view the long-term bearish on the euro to continue.

AUD/USD

AUD/USD testing 200MA and SSEC already broke 200MA. Looking to short AUD and CAD.

CNW Buy call

Buy at $31. Target at $35. About 6 month.

Forecast Financial Market

Currently future market when up more then 2%. Forecast market will have a second wave of downward move. Possible on late Tuesday onward.